GM Likely To Use Chrysler’s Strategy In Its Expected Bankruptcy
GM, which faces a
Yet the two companies could still face legal hurdles and loud objections from the financial sector in a test for the plan by President Barack Obama’s administration to save the two automakers critical to the U.S. economy, analysts say.
"I think GM will learn a lot from the Chrysler bankruptcy," said one bankruptcy attorney, who asked to remain anonymous, but is familiar with the Chrysler case and represents auto industry clients.
"I would expect GM to file in the same court. The fast track was adopted by the bankruptcy court and it is key to GM as it was for Chrysler."
GM, which is widely expected to seek court protection even while it scrambles to win cost savings, would represent a much larger bankruptcy case with thousands of investors and other parties, but both firms are trying to shed debt and legacy costs including for vast numbers of retirees.
"I think (bankruptcy) will be a little smoother for GM," the attorney said.
"If I were representing GM I would get on the same railroad as Chrysler and ride it."
The notion of a quick, surgical bankruptcy is being touted by the administration as the only means of saving the critically important auto firms, but has nonetheless drawn fierce objections about skirting creditor rights to get a quick exit.
In the Chrysler case, and most likely in the GM case, the company may remain under court supervision but the key assets would be sold to a new entity free of most debt, providing a fresh start.
But some complain that the financial sector is being forced to make bigger sacrifices than the United Auto Workers union and others.
"The government wants to be paid back and have an equity position and stick it to the financial industry," he said. "If I were in the financial industry I would be very suspicious."
The plan, he said, "sacrifices the senior debt holders for the unions. This is wrong, lacking legal precedent, violating the most basic rule of law and capital structure."
The bankruptcy court judge is set to decide Wednesday whether to approve the Chrysler plan, which would sell the automaker’s main assets to a new group led by Italy’s
This could clear the way for a new Chrysler to emerge within another 30 days or so, but could be delayed by legal appeals if a judge decides to halt the sale to examine questions further, analysts say.
"The federal government may recognize that hedge funds and private equity funds that hold large amounts of Chrysler (and perhaps GM) debt cannot be trusted to act in ways that will make a successful reorganization likely," Lipson said.
"These private investors are, of course, the same sorts of entities that constitute the ‘shadow banking system’ that has been blamed for much of the larger financial crisis."
"Pragmatically there is no way a company could go through this level of restructuring without the government as a mediator," he said.
"This is a role that nobody but the government can play."